THE RACE FOR INDONESIA’S SECOND-HIGHEST OFFICE: WHO COULD BECOME PRABOWO’S NEXT VICE PRESIDENT ?
(A Comprehensive Political, Constitutional, Strategic and National Leadership Assessment Following Gibran Rakabuming Raka’s Reported Resignation in November 2026)
THE RACE FOR INDONESIA’S SECOND-HIGHEST OFFICE: WHO COULD BECOME PRABOWO’S NEXT VICE PRESIDENT ?
(A Comprehensive Political, Constitutional, Strategic and National Leadership Assessment Following Gibran Rakabuming Raka’s Reported Resignation in November 2026)
AUTHOR : R Try Noegroho by POINT Consultant
KEDIRI, 14 NOVEMBER 2026
POINT Consultant – Independent Policy and Strategic Analysis
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Indonesia is entering a potentially significant political transition following reports of Gibran Rakabuming Raka’s resignation from the office of Vice President on 12 November 2026. The reported development has triggered public discussion about the next individual who could accompany President Prabowo Subianto in completing his administration through 2029.
The vacant vice-presidential position is not merely an administrative matter. It represents an important constitutional, political and strategic decision that could influence the balance of power within the governing coalition, the effectiveness of national policy implementation, political stability and the configuration of alliances ahead of the 2029 presidential election.
A broad range of national figures has consequently emerged in public discussions. They include political party leaders, senior ministers, parliamentary leaders, former regional heads, members of prominent presidential families, younger political figures, technocrats, religious scholars and prominent intellectuals.
This article examines four principal categories of potential candidates:
1. General political candidates from various national political backgrounds.
2. Candidates from presidential families, political dynasties and younger generations.
3. Technocrats, cabinet ministers and coalition leaders capable of supporting the administration until 2029.
4. Religious leaders, Islamic scholars, intellectuals and interfaith figures who could strengthen national unity.
The names discussed in this article are not official nominations. They represent individuals mentioned in media discussions, political commentary, reported survey simulations and public speculation contained in the source material.
The ultimate constitutional authority to nominate two candidates rests with President Prabowo Subianto, while the selection is undertaken by the People's Consultative Assembly (MPR) in accordance with Article 8 paragraph (2) of the 1945 Constitution.
The central question is therefore not simply who has the greatest political popularity, but who possesses the constitutional eligibility, leadership capacity, political acceptance, administrative competence and national credibility to become an effective Vice President.
CHAPTER I
THE POLITICAL CONTEXT FOLLOWING GIBRAN’S REPORTED RESIGNATION
The reported resignation of Gibran Rakabuming Raka on 12 November 2026 has introduced a new dimension into Indonesian political affairs.
According to the information presented in the source material, Gibran submitted his resignation letter to President Prabowo Subianto and the leadership of the People's Consultative Assembly.
If the resignation is formally accepted and processed according to constitutional procedures, Indonesia will face the task of filling the vacant vice-presidential position.
The replacement will serve alongside President Prabowo for the remainder of the current presidential term, which is scheduled to end in 2029.
This situation presents several important political considerations.
1. Maintaining Governmental Continuity
The Vice President is not simply a political companion of the President. The position forms part of the constitutional structure of the executive branch.
A replacement must therefore be capable of supporting presidential leadership, coordinating government priorities and ensuring continuity in the implementation of national development programmes.
2. Preserving Coalition Stability
President Prabowo leads a broad political coalition involving parties and political figures with different institutional interests.
The selection of a Vice President could influence the distribution of political influence within the coalition.
A candidate who is accepted by multiple political parties could strengthen government stability, whereas a controversial appointment could create internal tensions.
3. Preparing for the 2029 Political Cycle
Although the immediate task is to complete the current presidential term, political parties and influential national figures are already considering their positions ahead of the 2029 presidential election.
The next Vice President could become an important political figure in the future national leadership structure.
4. Restoring Public Confidence
The new Vice President should also help strengthen public confidence in the constitutional system.
Indonesia needs leadership that demonstrates accountability, integrity, professionalism and commitment to democratic institutions.
CHAPTER II
THE CONSTITUTIONAL MECHANISM FOR REPLACING THE VICE PRESIDENT
The replacement of a Vice President during an ongoing presidential term is regulated by Article 8 paragraph (2) of the 1945 Constitution of the Republic of Indonesia.
The constitutional provision establishes that if the office of Vice President becomes vacant, the People's Consultative Assembly shall elect a new Vice President from two candidates proposed by the President.
The candidates must originate from political parties or coalitions of political parties whose candidates participated in the previous presidential election and obtained the required electoral qualification under the constitutional provision.
1. Presidential Authority to Propose Candidates
President Prabowo Subianto holds the constitutional authority to submit two candidates to the MPR.
This means that the public lists of potential candidates do not constitute official nominations.
Political parties, parliamentarians, public commentators and civil society organizations may express their preferences, but they cannot independently replace the President's constitutional nomination authority.
2. The Role of the MPR
The MPR is responsible for electing the replacement Vice President from the two candidates proposed by the President.
The constitutional process gives the legislature an important institutional role in ensuring that the replacement is selected through the established constitutional framework.
3. The Reported Fourteen-Day Presidential Submission Period
The source material refers to an explanation attributed to MPR Chairman Ahmad Muzani concerning a maximum period of fourteen days for the President to propose two candidates following the relevant MPR request.
This reported administrative timeline should be distinguished from the constitutional text itself.
4. The Sixty-Day Constitutional Period
Article 8 paragraph (2) provides that the MPR must elect the new Vice President no later than sixty days after the vacancy occurs.
The replacement process must therefore be completed within the applicable constitutional timeframe.
5. The Reported Election and Inauguration Schedule
The source material refers to 2 December 2026 as the anticipated date for the MPR's selection and inauguration of the replacement Vice President.
This date should be treated as a reported schedule rather than an independently established constitutional deadline.
6. Constitutional Eligibility
Eligibility must be examined carefully.
The applicable constitutional and electoral framework includes the minimum age requirement of forty years or the alternative qualification concerning previous or current service in an elected public office through an election, as interpreted through the relevant constitutional jurisprudence.
Consequently, political popularity alone cannot establish eligibility.
The candidates must also satisfy the applicable constitutional requirements and the specific provisions governing a mid-term replacement.
CHAPTER III
THE GENERAL FIELD: 17 NATIONAL FIGURES DISCUSSED AS POTENTIAL CANDIDATES
The following seventeen figures represent a broad cross-section of Indonesian political leadership.
The list is arranged by political and institutional background, not by ranking, probability of appointment or official presidential preference.
A. Political Party Leaders and Coalition Figures
1. Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono (AHY)
AHY is Chairman of the Democratic Party and serves as Coordinating Minister for Infrastructure and Regional Development.
As the son of Indonesia's sixth President, Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, he combines political family connections, party leadership and cabinet experience.
His potential value lies in strengthening coalition relations and expanding the administration's public acceptance.
2. Muhaimin Iskandar (Cak Imin)
Muhaimin Iskandar is Chairman of the National Awakening Party (PKB) and Coordinating Minister for Community Empowerment.
His political experience and connections with the Islamic community provide an important dimension to coalition consolidation.
3. Bahlil Lahadalia
Bahlil is Chairman of Golkar and Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources.
His political party leadership and experience in energy policy could strengthen the government's political and economic coordination.
4. Zulkifli Hasan
Zulkifli Hasan is Chairman of the National Mandate Party (PAN) and Coordinating Minister for Food Affairs.
His experience in party leadership and food security policy could contribute to the administration's national food sovereignty agenda.
5. Sufmi Dasco Ahmad
As Deputy Speaker of the House of Representatives and a senior Gerindra politician, Dasco occupies an important position in the government's legislative and political coordination.
His strength lies in parliamentary negotiation and maintaining communication between the executive and legislative branches.
6. Ahmad Muzani
Ahmad Muzani serves as Chairman of the MPR and Secretary-General of Gerindra.
His institutional experience and political connections make him an influential figure in discussions concerning constitutional continuity and coalition management.
B. Ministers and Presidential Inner-Circle Figures
7. Yusril Ihza Mahendra
Yusril is Coordinating Minister for Law, Human Rights, Immigration and Corrections.
His legal expertise and constitutional experience could be particularly relevant during a period requiring careful institutional and constitutional management.
8. Sugiono
Sugiono is Minister of Foreign Affairs and Deputy Chairman of Gerindra.
His relationship with President Prabowo and experience in international diplomacy make him a potential candidate from the President's inner political circle.
9. Teddy Indra Wijaya (Major Teddy)
As Cabinet Secretary, Teddy has an important role in presidential administration and coordination.
His proximity to the President has generated public speculation, although his constitutional eligibility, military background and potential transition into an elected constitutional office require careful examination.
10. Airlangga Hartarto
Airlangga is Coordinating Minister for Economic Affairs.
His experience in economic policy, investment coordination and political party leadership could support the government's economic transformation agenda.
C. Leaders of National Institutions
11. Puan Maharani
Puan Maharani is Speaker of the House of Representatives and a senior PDI Perjuangan politician.
Her appointment could potentially open a new channel of political communication between the government and PDI Perjuangan.
However, no formal agreement should be assumed without official confirmation.
12. Sultan Baktiar Najamudin
As Chairman of the Regional Representative Council (DPD), Sultan represents a national institutional figure with experience in parliamentary affairs and regional representation.
D. Regional Leaders and National Figures Outside the Core Coalition
13. Sri Sultan Hamengku Buwono X
The Governor of the Special Region of Yogyakarta represents a prominent traditional and constitutional leadership background.
His symbolic position could contribute to national unity, although the source material also indicates that he has declined to comment on the speculation.
14. Pramono Anung
The Governor of Jakarta has extensive experience in national politics and government administration.
His background could be relevant to discussions about political reconciliation and urban economic development.
15. Anies Baswedan
The former Governor of Jakarta has a substantial public profile and is frequently discussed in national political analysis.
His potential inclusion could represent a broader effort to accommodate political constituencies outside the governing coalition.
16. Mahfud MD
The former Coordinating Minister for Political, Legal and Security Affairs has experience in constitutional law, judicial institutions and national governance.
His legal background could strengthen the constitutional and institutional dimension of the presidency.
17. Ganjar Pranowo
The former Governor of Central Java is another prominent national political figure whose name has appeared in public speculation.
His experience in regional administration and electoral politics could provide a different political perspective within the executive leadership.
CHAPTER IV
CANDIDATES FROM PRESIDENTIAL FAMILIES AND THE YOUNGER GENERATION
One of the most interesting dimensions of the current political discussion is the emergence of figures associated with previous presidential families and younger generations.
Indonesia's political history demonstrates that family backgrounds, political networks and generational transitions can influence national political competition.
However, political lineage should never become a substitute for constitutional eligibility, professional competence or public accountability.
The following seventeen figures have been mentioned in the source material.
A. Presidential Families and Political Dynasties
1. Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono (AHY)
The eldest son of former President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono represents a younger generation of national political leadership with substantial institutional experience.
2. Edhie Baskoro Yudhoyono (Ibas)
The younger son of SBY has parliamentary experience and occupies an important position within the Democratic Party.
3. Kaesang Pangarep
The youngest son of former President Joko Widodo is Chairman of the Indonesian Solidarity Party (PSI).
His political career is frequently associated with discussions about younger leadership and political regeneration.
His age and electoral qualifications must be assessed under the applicable constitutional rules.
4. Didit Hediprasetyo
The son of President Prabowo Subianto is primarily known as a fashion designer rather than an active political leader.
His inclusion in public speculation should not be interpreted as evidence of political ambition or an official candidacy.
5. Puti Guntur Soekarno
The granddaughter of Indonesia's first President, Soekarno, represents the continuation of an influential political family through parliamentary politics.
6. Muhammad Prananda Prabowo
The son of Megawati Soekarnoputri and grandson of Soekarno is associated with the internal political structure of PDI Perjuangan.
7. Ilham Akbar Habibie
The eldest son of former President B.J. Habibie is known for his technological, business and professional background.
His public profile represents a combination of political family heritage and technocratic experience.
8. Yenny Wahid
The daughter of former President Abdurrahman Wahid (Gus Dur) is a prominent public figure associated with pluralism, moderate Islamic thought and social activism.
9. Siti Hediati Hariyadi (Titiek Soeharto)
The daughter of former President Soeharto is an established political figure and member of the House of Representatives.
Her background connects contemporary political institutions with an important chapter of Indonesia's political history.
B. Younger Political Figures, Cabinet Members and Regional Leaders
10. Teddy Indra Wijaya
The Cabinet Secretary represents a younger generation of government officials close to the President.
His public profile has attracted attention, although constitutional eligibility and the distinction between administrative appointments and elected political office must be considered.
11. Sugiono
The Foreign Minister is a younger political figure within Gerindra's leadership structure and an important member of the President's inner circle.
12. Dico Ganinduto
The former Regent of Kendal represents a younger generation of regional political leadership.
13. Emil Elestianto Dardak
The Deputy Governor of East Java combines political experience with an academic and technocratic background.
His regional leadership experience could be relevant to national development and intergovernmental coordination.
14. Raffi Ahmad
As the Presidential Special Envoy for Youth Development and Arts Workers, Raffi represents a public figure with substantial popularity among younger audiences.
His public recognition, however, is different from the experience required to exercise constitutional executive authority.
15. Budisatrio Djiwandono
The nephew of President Prabowo is a prominent Gerindra politician and parliamentary figure.
His experience could provide a connection between younger political leadership and the government's legislative agenda.
16. Thomas Djiwandono
The President's nephew has experience in economic and fiscal policy through his government position.
His background is relevant to discussions about economic governance and the next generation of national economic leadership.
17. Sherly Tjoanda
The Governor of North Maluku represents regional leadership and has attracted attention in discussions about younger national political figures.
Her experience could contribute a regional perspective to national executive leadership.
Political Assessment.
The younger-generation category offers three potential advantages:
- Generational renewal in national leadership.
- New political communication with younger voters.
- Greater representation of regional, professional and social backgrounds.
Nevertheless, the appointment of a younger figure should be based on constitutional qualifications and demonstrated leadership capacity, not simply family connections or public popularity.
CHAPTER V
SEVENTEEN TECHNOCRATS, MINISTERS AND COALITION LEADERS WHO COULD SUPPORT PRABOWO UNTIL 2029
The next category focuses on individuals whose principal advantage is their capacity to support the government's policy implementation and maintain political stability.
A Vice President should ideally possess the ability to coordinate national programmes, understand economic and administrative challenges, manage political relationships and assist the President in delivering measurable development outcomes.
The following seventeen figures are identified in the source material.
A. Core Cabinet and Coordinating Ministers
1. Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono (AHY)
His experience in infrastructure coordination, party leadership and national politics could strengthen the administration's political and development agenda.
2. Airlangga Hartarto
His economic policy experience could help maintain investment confidence, macroeconomic stability and coordination among economic ministries.
3. Zulkifli Hasan
His responsibility for food affairs makes him relevant to the government's food security and agricultural transformation priorities.
4. Abdul Muhaimin Iskandar (Cak Imin)
His political network and experience in community empowerment could support poverty reduction, rural development and social inclusion.
5. Yusril Ihza Mahendra
His constitutional and legal expertise could strengthen legal reform, regulatory certainty and institutional accountability.
6. Sjafrie Sjamsoeddin
As Minister of Defence and a long-standing associate of President Prabowo, he represents experience in defence and national security.
7. Sugiono
His diplomatic experience and position within Gerindra could help connect foreign policy priorities with domestic political coordination.
8. Prasetyo Hadi
As Minister of State Secretary, he plays an important role in presidential administration and coordination among government institutions.
9. Bahlil Lahadalia
His leadership in energy and mineral resources policy and his position within Golkar make him relevant to industrial development, downstream processing and energy security.
10. Muhammad Tito Karnavian
As Minister of Home Affairs, he occupies a strategic position in coordinating central government policy with regional administrations.
11. Erick Thohir
His professional and corporate background provides experience relevant to state-owned enterprise reform and the mobilisation of national economic resources.
12. Sri Mulyani Indrawati
Her experience in fiscal management and international economic institutions makes her an important figure in maintaining budget credibility and financial stability.
B. Presidential Advisory and Strategic Leadership Circle
13. Pratikno
His experience in presidential administration and government coordination could contribute to strategic policy integration.
14. Budi Gunawan
His political and security background is relevant to national stability and coordination among political and security institutions.
15. Ignasius Jonan
His professional experience in transportation, energy and public-sector management represents a technocratic approach to government administration.
C. Parliamentary and Coalition Leadership
16. Sufmi Dasco Ahmad
His parliamentary experience and position within Gerindra make him a significant figure in legislative coordination and coalition management.
17. Ahmad Muzani
His leadership in the MPR and position within Gerindra provide institutional and political experience relevant to constitutional affairs and coalition stability.
Strategic Assessment
These seventeen figures offer different forms of institutional strength.
Some possess economic expertise, others have political networks, legal knowledge, security experience or administrative competence.
The most suitable candidate would ideally combine several of these characteristics rather than depend exclusively on one area of expertise.
CHAPTER VI
RELIGIOUS LEADERS, ISLAMIC SCHOLARS AND NATIONAL INTELLECTUALS AS POTENTIAL UNIFYING FIGURES
Indonesia is a nation characterised by religious diversity, cultural plurality and a complex social structure.
Religious leaders have historically played an important role in maintaining social cohesion, promoting moral responsibility and encouraging dialogue between different communities.
The reported vacancy in the vice-presidential office has consequently generated discussions about the possibility of selecting a religious scholar or prominent intellectual as the President's partner.
The following figures and categories appear in the source material.
A. Senior Islamic Scholars and Religious Organisation Leaders
1. KH Miftachul Akhyar
A senior Islamic scholar and Rais Aam of Nahdlatul Ulama for the 2026–2031 period, he represents the traditional Islamic scholarly community and the pesantren environment.
2. Prof. Dr. Haedar Nashir
As Chairman of Muhammadiyah, he represents an influential Islamic organisation with strong educational, social and intellectual institutions.
3. KH Muhammad Anwar Iskandar
As Chairman of the Indonesian Ulema Council (MUI) for the 2025–2030 period and a pesantren leader in Kediri, he represents the religious and educational traditions of East Java.
His inclusion is particularly relevant to discussions about the relationship between religious institutions and national leadership.
4. Prof. Dr. M. Quraish Shihab
A distinguished Qur'anic scholar and intellectual, he is widely associated with moderate Islamic interpretation and interreligious understanding.
5. KH Ma'ruf Amin
The former Vice President of Indonesia represents extensive experience in national government and Islamic institutional leadership.
B. Religious Leaders in the Government and National Organisations
6. Prof. Dr. KH Nasaruddin Umar
As Minister of Religious Affairs and Grand Imam of Istiqlal Mosque, he represents the combination of religious scholarship, public administration and interfaith engagement.
7. KH Yahya Cholil Staquf (Gus Yahya)
As Chairman of Nahdlatul Ulama, he represents a major Islamic organisation with international religious diplomacy connections.
8. KH M. Irfan Yusuf Hasyim (Gus Irfan)
A descendant of NU founder KH Hasyim Asy'ari, he represents the pesantren tradition and political experience.
9. Prof. Dr. Abdul Mu'ti
As Minister of Primary and Secondary Education and Secretary-General of Muhammadiyah, he represents Islamic intellectual leadership and educational reform.
10. KH Asep Saifuddin Chalim
The leader of Amanatul Ummah Islamic boarding school represents an influential pesantren background, particularly in East Java.
C. Religious Organisation Leaders and National Intellectuals
11. Khofifah Indar Parawansa
As Governor of East Java and Chairwoman of Muslimat NU, Khofifah represents female political leadership, Islamic community networks and regional governance.
12. Dr. KH Ali Masykur Musa
As a leader within the Nahdlatul Ulama scholars' network, he represents the intellectual and organisational dimension of Islamic leadership.
13. Muhaimin Iskandar (Cak Imin)
His background in Islamic political organisations and community-based politics makes him another figure connecting religious constituencies with national government.
D. Interfaith Leadership
The source material also refers to prominent interfaith figures, including:
14. Rev. Gomar Gultom
A prominent Christian religious figure whose public profile represents interfaith engagement and social dialogue.
15. Christian and Catholic figures: Reverend Jacklevyn Frits (Jacky) Manuputty (General Chairman of the Communion of Churches in Indonesia/PGI) and Ignasius Jonan were inaugurated as members of the Presidential Advisory Council (Wantimpres).
16. Hindu figure: Ida Bagus Purwalaksana was included among the members of the Presidential Advisory Council who were inaugurated.
17. Buddhist figure: Philip Kuncoro Wijaya was appointed as a representative of the Buddhist community on the council.
Why Religious Leadership Matters
A religious figure could provide several strategic advantages:
- Strengthening ethical leadership and public trust.
- Encouraging social reconciliation.
- Supporting dialogue among religious communities.
- Reinforcing national unity and constitutional pluralism.
- Connecting government programmes with community-based institutions.
However, religious authority does not automatically translate into executive competence.
The Vice President must be able to perform constitutional, administrative and political responsibilities in addition to possessing moral credibility.
CHAPTER VII
THE STRATEGIC IMPORTANCE OF THE NEXT VICE PRESIDENT
The selection of a new Vice President should be viewed within the wider national development agenda.
President Prabowo's administration faces challenges in several strategic areas.
1. Economic Stability and National Development
Indonesia must maintain economic growth while protecting fiscal sustainability, controlling inflation, strengthening domestic industries and attracting investment.
A Vice President with economic knowledge and administrative experience could assist in coordinating national development priorities.
2. Food Security and Energy Sovereignty
Food security and energy independence remain major strategic priorities.
The government needs to strengthen agricultural productivity, food distribution, energy infrastructure and downstream industrial development.
3. Human Capital and Education
The administration must invest in education, vocational training, scientific research and the development of a competitive workforce.
A capable Vice President should understand that long-term national prosperity depends on human capital development.
4. Infrastructure and Regional Equality
Economic development must not be concentrated exclusively in Jakarta or major metropolitan areas.
Regional infrastructure, connectivity, logistics and access to public services must become part of a comprehensive national development strategy.
5. Law Enforcement and Institutional Integrity
Public confidence depends on the independence, professionalism and accountability of state institutions.
The new Vice President should support institutional reform, legal certainty and equal treatment under the law.
6. International Diplomacy and Geopolitical Positioning
Indonesia must maintain strategic independence while strengthening economic and diplomatic relations with major international partners.
The Vice President could support the President's diplomatic agenda through international engagement and institutional coordination.
7. Social Protection and Poverty Reduction
Economic development must produce tangible improvements in people's living standards.
Poverty reduction, employment opportunities, social protection and community empowerment should remain central government priorities.
CHAPTER VIII
THE 2029 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION: POTENTIAL POLITICAL CHALLENGES
The selection of a new Vice President could also influence the political environment leading to the 2029 presidential election.
The source material identifies several potential political competitors and sources of political pressure.
1. Gibran Rakabuming Raka and the Jokowi Political Network
The possibility of Gibran becoming a future political rival has been discussed by political commentators, particularly if the governing coalition experiences internal fragmentation.
The political influence associated with former President Joko Widodo, including networks of volunteers and PSI, could become relevant to future political competition.
Nevertheless, such possibilities should be treated as political scenarios rather than established plans.
2. Anies Baswedan
Anies Baswedan could potentially re-emerge as a prominent political figure outside the government.
His political appeal may be connected to public concerns about economic conditions, social policy and the quality of democratic governance. But impossible. The impossibility of Anies Baswedan accompanying Prabowo Subianto as a vice-presidential candidate is driven by several political and historical factors, as well as considerations regarding party membership.
3. Dedi Mulyadi
The Governor of West Java has attracted attention because of his public communication style and regional political influence.
His potential national political role would depend on future political alliances and party support.
4. Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono
AHY could remain an important figure within the governing coalition or become a significant political actor in a future electoral configuration.
His political position will depend on party strategy, public acceptance and coalition arrangements.
5. PDI Perjuangan
PDI Perjuangan remains an important national political force.
Its future political position could influence the balance between government support and opposition ahead of 2029.
6. Non-Electoral Risks to Political Stability
Political stability is not determined exclusively by electoral competition.
Other challenges include:
- Abuse of state authority.
- Questions concerning the neutrality of law enforcement institutions.
- Institutional conflicts.
- Public distrust in government decisions.
- Allegations of improper surveillance or misuse of state resources.
- Political polarisation and misinformation.
The government must ensure that these matters are addressed through transparent and lawful institutional processes.
CHAPTER IX
THE FOUR MAIN POLITICAL MODELS FOR SELECTING PRABOWO'S NEXT VICE PRESIDENT
The names presented above can be understood through four possible political models.
MODEL 1: THE COALITION CONSOLIDATION MODEL
Under this model, President Prabowo selects an experienced political party leader.
Potential figures discussed include:
- Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono.
- Muhaimin Iskandar.
- Bahlil Lahadalia.
- Zulkifli Hasan.
- Sufmi Dasco Ahmad.
The principal advantage would be stronger coalition management and improved political communication.
The principal risk would be competition over political influence within the governing coalition.
MODEL 2: THE TECHNOCRATIC AND ADMINISTRATIVE MODEL
This model prioritises professional competence, policy coordination and the implementation of national development programmes.
Potential figures include:
- Airlangga Hartarto.
- Yusril Ihza Mahendra.
- Sugiono.
- Sri Mulyani Indrawati.
- Erick Thohir.
- Ignasius Jonan.
The advantage would be stronger policy execution and technical expertise.
The challenge would be ensuring sufficient political acceptance among coalition parties and the wider public.
MODEL 3: THE GENERATIONAL RENEWAL MODEL
This model prioritises younger political leaders and future-oriented leadership.
Potential figures include:
- AHY.
- Sugiono.
- Emil Elestianto Dardak.
- Budisatrio Djiwandono.
- Sherly Tjoanda.
The advantage would be the introduction of new leadership perspectives.
The challenge would be balancing generational renewal with experience, constitutional eligibility and the requirements of national administration.
MODEL 4: THE NATIONAL UNITY AND RELIGIOUS RECONCILIATION MODEL
This model prioritises religious credibility, intellectual authority and social cohesion.
Potential figures include:
- KH Miftachul Akhyar.
- Haedar Nashir.
- KH Muhammad Anwar Iskandar.
- Quraish Shihab.
- Nasaruddin Umar.
- Khofifah Indar Parawansa.
The advantage would be strengthening national unity and public trust across social and religious communities.
The challenge would be translating moral and social authority into the administrative responsibilities of the Vice President.
CHAPTER X
WHAT SHOULD PRESIDENT PRABOWO CONSIDER BEFORE MAKING HIS CHOICE ?
The next Vice President should not be selected merely because of political popularity, family connections or temporary coalition calculations.
Several criteria deserve particular attention.
1. Constitutional Eligibility
The candidate must satisfy the constitutional and statutory requirements applicable to the replacement process.
This is the first and non-negotiable consideration.
2. Political Acceptance
The candidate should be acceptable to the relevant political parties and institutions.
A replacement who creates unnecessary political conflict could weaken government coordination.
3. Professional Competence
The candidate should demonstrate experience in leadership, public administration, economic policy, law, diplomacy or another field relevant to national governance.
4. Integrity and Accountability
The Vice President should possess a credible public record and demonstrate respect for constitutional institutions.
5. Loyalty to the Constitution and the Republic
Political loyalty should not be confused with personal loyalty alone.
The most important commitment is loyalty to the Constitution, the Republic of Indonesia and the interests of the Indonesian people.
6. Capacity to Work as a Presidential Partner
The relationship between the President and Vice President must be based on trust, coordination and a clear division of responsibilities.
The new Vice President should strengthen the presidency rather than create a competing centre of power.
7. Public Confidence
The appointment should strengthen public confidence in the government and demonstrate that national leadership positions are filled according to competence and constitutional procedures.
CHAPTER XI
POSSIBLE POLITICAL SCENARIOS THROUGH 2029
Several scenarios may emerge from the replacement process.
Scenario A: A Senior Coalition Politician Is Selected
The President could select a prominent political party leader who is capable of strengthening coalition relations.
This would provide a relatively direct political solution to the vacancy.
Scenario B: A Technocrat Is Selected
The President could prioritise economic and administrative expertise.
This would emphasise policy implementation and the completion of national development programmes.
Scenario C: A Religious or National Unity Figure Is Selected
The President could choose a respected religious scholar or national intellectual to reinforce social cohesion.
This could strengthen the moral and pluralistic dimensions of government leadership.
Scenario D: A Younger Political Figure Is Selected
The President could select a younger leader with significant political or administrative experience.
This would communicate a commitment to generational renewal.
Scenario E: A Hybrid Political-Technocratic Candidate Is Selected
A candidate combining political experience, professional competence and public credibility could provide the most balanced approach.
Such a figure could help maintain coalition stability while supporting effective government administration.
None of these scenarios should be treated as a confirmed presidential decision.
CHAPTER XII
THE IMPORTANCE OF TRANSPARENT AND CONSTITUTIONAL SUCCESSION
The replacement of the Vice President is an important test of Indonesia's constitutional system.
Political competition is a normal feature of democracy. However, political calculations must remain subordinate to constitutional requirements.
Three principles should guide the process.
- First: Constitutional legitimacy.
The replacement must be selected through the procedures established by the 1945 Constitution.
- Second: Institutional accountability.
All participating institutions should respect their respective constitutional responsibilities.
- Third: National interest.
The final decision should prioritise the welfare of the Indonesian people rather than the narrow interests of individual political groups.
The public should also be able to distinguish between official nominations, political proposals, media speculation and survey-based predictions.
This distinction is essential to preventing misinformation and maintaining public confidence.
CONCLUSION
THE NEXT VICE PRESIDENT MUST BE A NATIONAL PARTNER, NOT MERELY A POLITICAL COMPROMISE
The reported resignation of Gibran Rakabuming Raka has opened a new chapter in Indonesian political discussions.
The search for a replacement Vice President presents President Prabowo Subianto with an important opportunity to strengthen his administration and ensure the continuity of national development until 2029.
The names discussed in this article represent a broad range of political, professional, institutional and religious backgrounds.
There are experienced party leaders who could strengthen coalition management, technocrats who could improve policy implementation, younger figures who could represent generational renewal, and religious leaders who could reinforce national unity.
However, the central question should not be who has the strongest political connections or the most prominent family background.
The more important question is:
Who can genuinely help President Prabowo govern effectively, protect the Constitution, strengthen national institutions and improve the welfare of the Indonesian people?
A Vice President must be capable of supporting the President without undermining the constitutional structure of the executive branch.
The position should not become a platform for personal ambition, political rivalry or the creation of a competing centre of power.
Indonesia needs a leader who can combine political wisdom, administrative competence, national integrity and a commitment to democratic accountability.
The selection of the next Vice President should therefore become an opportunity to strengthen the foundations of the Republic.
The ultimate measure of success will not be the political prestige of the person appointed, but the quality of government delivered to the people.
Indonesia's future must be determined by constitutional legitimacy, national interests and the aspirations of its citizens—not by political dynasties or the calculations of individual elites alone.
STRATEGIC RESUME
KEY FINDINGS AND POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS
A. Key Findings
1. The reported resignation of Gibran creates a constitutional process for filling the vacant vice-presidential office, subject to formal legal confirmation and completion of the relevant procedures.
2. President Prabowo has the constitutional authority to propose two candidates to the MPR.
3. The public discussion includes political party leaders, cabinet ministers, technocrats, younger figures, presidential families and religious scholars.
4. The candidates mentioned are not official nominees.
5. Constitutional eligibility must be verified individually.
6. Coalition stability, administrative competence and public confidence should be central considerations.
7. The replacement could influence political alignments ahead of the 2029 presidential election.
B. Strategic Recommendations
1. Prioritise candidates with demonstrated administrative and leadership competence.
2. Ensure strict compliance with Article 8 paragraph (2) of the 1945 Constitution.
3. Maintain transparent communication with political parties and relevant institutions.
4. Avoid treating family connections as a substitute for professional qualifications.
5. Strengthen coordination between the President, Vice President, cabinet and parliament.
6. Prioritise national economic stability, food security, education and social welfare.
7. Maintain the independence and accountability of state institutions.
8. Ensure that the new Vice President strengthens national unity rather than increasing political polarisation.
C. Final Strategic Assessment
The strongest candidate is not necessarily the most popular politician, the most influential party leader or the individual closest to the President.
The most valuable candidate would be someone who combines constitutional eligibility, political acceptance, professional capability, integrity and the ability to support the President through the remaining term.
The next Vice President should become a strategic partner in governing Indonesia—not merely a symbol of political accommodation.
Additional Names in the Vice-Presidential Succession Discourse :
The expanded list of public figures discussed in connection with the possible replacement of Vice President Gibran Rakabuming Raka should also include Rosan Perkasa Roeslani and Sherly Tjoanda. Their inclusion broadens the discussion to encompass strategic economic management and regional executive leadership.
1. Rosan Perkasa Roeslani – Strategic Economic and Investment Leadership
Rosan Perkasa Roeslani, currently serving as Chief Executive Officer of the Investment Management Agency (BPI) Danantara Indonesia and Minister of Investment and Downstreaming, represents the economic-management and investment-policy dimension of the national leadership discussion.
His experience in investment promotion, international business relations, economic diplomacy and the management of strategic state investment institutions makes him a relevant figure to include in the broader discussion of national leadership succession. His name may therefore be placed alongside other ministers, technocrats and strategic economic policymakers.
2. Sherly Tjoanda – Regional Executive Leadership and Generational Representation
Sherly Tjoanda, the Governor of North Maluku, represents the perspective of regional executive leadership and a younger generation of political figures.
Her inclusion introduces a regional dimension to the national succession discussion, particularly concerning regional development, natural-resource governance, investment, infrastructure and the relationship between central and local government.
3. The name of Minister of Agriculture Andi Amran Sulaiman has emerged among potential figures or candidates to fill the position of Vice President of the Republic of Indonesia, following political developments surrounding a vacancy in the vice-presidential office. According to a survey by the LRP (Public Research Institute) the results of which were released on Friday, November 13, 2026.
Andi Amran Sulaiman ranked first within the "Red and White Cabinet" (Kabinet Merah Putih) cluster, securing 19.3% support and placing ahead of other figures such as Yusril Ihza Mahendra (14.3%) and Sjafrie Sjamsoeddin (10.2%).
Updated Classification :
Rosan Perkasa Roeslani should be added to the category of technocrats, ministers and strategic economic leaders. Sherly Tjoanda should be included in the category of regional leaders and younger-generation figures.
Their names are additions to the range of figures discussed in the public political discourse. Their inclusion does not mean that either has been formally nominated by the President or officially declared a candidate. Any eventual selection must follow the constitutional procedure and applicable eligibility requirements.
DISCLAIMER AND EDITORIAL NOTE
This article is an analytical compilation based on the materials, names, political commentary, reported survey references and public discussions provided for this publication.
The names presented are not official presidential nominations, confirmed candidates or a ranking of electoral probabilities.
The reported resignation of Gibran Rakabuming Raka, the constitutional replacement process, the reported fourteen-day submission period and the anticipated MPR schedule should be independently verified through official government, presidential and MPR statements.
The legal eligibility of every potential candidate, including age and previous elected-office qualifications, must be assessed individually under the applicable constitutional and statutory provisions.
Any political scenario discussed in this article represents analysis and projection, not a declaration of an established political decision.
AUTHOR: R Try Noegroho by POINT Consultant
KEDIRI, 14 NOVEMBER 2026
POINT Consultant – Independent Policy and Strategic Analysis
Editorial note:
- The article preserves the political scenarios and names in the supplied material while distinguishing public speculation from official nominations. It also includes constitutional qualifications and a disclaimer to avoid presenting unverified political developments as established facts.
- The author uses the term "figures discussed in the public political discourse," rather than stating that both have officially become candidates. Thus, the article maintains a distinction between names appearing in political discourse and official presidential nominations.
By, POINT Consultant
